NFL Week 15 Fantasy Football DFS DraftKings Stacks And Value Plays

Welcome to the Week 15 of the NFL season. This is the start (for most) of fantasy football playoffs, so congratulations if you are still playing. For DFS, this is a special week because there are 13 games on the main slate. Four of these games will have predictive totals above 46; in fact, one of the games has the highest total of the season (55.5). In DraftKings land, that means there are so many teams, game environments, and variances to choose from. You can go game script, or team totals, but whichever one you choose, because of the makeup of the slate, you can expect that to land in the money on DraftKings this week, you are going to need high scores for the majority of your roster.

Before we start getting to your DraftKings optimal lineup for Week 15, let’s discuss Week 14. Whether you were playing the Millimaker or single-entry, last week’s winning lineup had to include the Puka Nauca-Michael Wilson stack. The Millimaker winning lineup paired them with Josh Allen, while a few single-entry lineups paired the wide receiver duo with Shedeur Sanders (the rest had Allen).

But enough about last week, let’s get on to the stacks and value plays for Week 15. This is going to be a week of high variance. You have 13 games to choose from, you have teams that are playing for their playoff lives, and you have high team totals with crazy winning odds. Choose wisely.

DFS Week 15 Game Environment/Stacks

There are a few games that potentially have a shoot-out game script. You will want to get a piece of those games.

Projected ownership percentage courtesy of linestarapp.com. (These projected ownerships as of Friday, check again closer to game time before you solidify your lineups.)

Detroit Lions @ Los Angeles Rams -5.5, 55.5 o/u

• Matthew Stafford has the second-highest projected ownership, 14.9%.
• Jahmyr Gibbs, the fourth-highest running back, 12.1%;
• Puka Nacua ninth-highest, 4.7%

QB, Matthew Stafford, $7000 + WR, Puka Nauca, $8700/ RB, Jahmyr Gibbs, $8800 + WR, Jameson Williams, $6100

This game stack is costly, taking up 61.2% of your roster, leaving you $3880 for the remaining positions.

The Lions need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive, and the Rams will clinch a playoff berth with a win.

Whether you decide to stack or just use pieces from this game, with the highest predictive total on the slate having some skin in this game is important.

Buffalo Bills -1.5 @ New England Patriots, 49.5 o/u

The Patriots will win the AFC East division title with a win. The Bills would still have a chance to win the AFC East with a win on Sunday.

QB, Josh Allen, $7500 (6.1% projected ownership) + TE, Dalton Kincaid, $4500 (5.2% projected ownership)

It is also viable to play Allen solo. This duo takes up 24% of your total roster allowance, leaving $5429 for the remaining positions.

Just a quick note, Mike Vrabel is 6-0 after a bye week as a head coach.

Baltimore Ravens -2.5 @ Cincinnati Bengals, 51.5 o/u

• QB, Lamar Jackson, 16.8% projected ownership (highest QB)
• TE, Mark Andrews, 15.8% projected ownership (highest TE)
• WR, Ja’Marr Chase, 29.1% projected ownership (highest WR)
• WR, Mitch Tinsley, < 1.9% projected ownership

QB, Jackson, $6400 + TE, Andrews, $3900/ WR, Chase $8100 + WR, Tinsley $3100

Not only is this a chalky lineup, but it takes 43% of your roster allowance, leaving $5700 for the remaining positions. Nothing wrong with good chalk. The downside is that this is an AFC North divisional matchup (which are notoriously hard to predict). It’s a rematch of the Thanksgiving game where the Bengals won in Baltimore 32-14. It’s also a potential weather game.

Washington Commanders @ New York Giants -2.5, 47.5 o/u

QB, Marcus Mariota, $5000 ( 14.4% projected ownership) + WR, Terry McLaurin $5400 (20.9% projected ownership)/ RB, Tyrone Tracy $5500 (<1.9% projected ownership)

This trio takes up 31.8% of roster allowance, leaving you with $5683 for the remaining positions. This is also a potential weather game.

Week 15 DFS Value Plays

Quarterbacks

• Joe Burrow, $6600, 1.7% projected ownership
• Trevor Lawrence, $5700, 0.8% projected ownership
• Tyler Shough, $4900, 0.4% projected ownership

Running Backs

• Woody Marks, $5600
• Devin Neal, $5300
• Rhamondre Stevenson $5100

Wide Receivers

• Jakobi Meyers, $5600, 1.6% projected ownership
• Xavier Worthy, $4500, 2% projected ownership

Tight Ends

• AJ Barner, $3200, 9.5% ownership
• Juwan Johnson, $3700, 3% projected ownership
• Theo Johnson, $3500, 13.1% projected ownership

Week 15 Value Stacks

QB, Tyler Shough, $4900 + TE, Juwan Johnson, $3700 / RB, Rico Dowdle, $6600

This stack takes up 30.4% of your roster allowance, leaving $5800 for remaining positions. The Panthers are currently in first place in the NFC South.

This game is a rematch from Week 10. The Panthers lost to the Saints 7-17 in Carolina.

QB, Trevor Lawrence, $5700 + RB, Travis Etienne, $6500 + WR, Jakobi Meyers, $5600

This stack takes up 35.6% of your roster allowance, leaving $5367 for remaining positions.

The Jaguars are an 11.5-point favorite against the Jets, who will start undrafted rookie quarterback Brady Cook. This will be Cook’s first NFL start.

Week 15 DFS DraftKings Slate

The Week 15 slate is unique in the number of games and the Vegas point spreads on the games. In games like the Jaguars versus the Jets, the question is if the Jaguars get comfortable ahead, will they continue to push?

For DFS purposes, it is best when two bad defenses are going against each other. For example, the Bengals’ defense is 32nd in points allowed, 32nd in rushing yards allowed, and 31st in passing yards allowed. Their opponent, the Ravens’ defense, is 22nd in points allowed, 15th in rushing yards allowed, and 26th in passing yards allowed.

Statistically, you want to target the run game against the Bengals. But keep in mind the Bengals are giving up 24.9 DraftKings fantasy points per game to the tight end position. They have allowed a league-leading 15 touchdowns to the tight ends. Meanwhile, their opponents have allowed the ninth most DraftKings fantasy points per game (35.9) to the wide receiver position.

In addition to Cook’s first start as quarterback, the Indianapolis Colts may start Philip Rivers under center. This will be Rivers’ first NFL start in five years. And in further backup news, Kenny Pickett will start for the Las Vegas Raiders against the Philadelphia Eagles, and Marcus Mariota will start for the Commanders against the New York Giants.

This is a fun slate with unlimited possibilities. Have fun, play nice, and good luck.