COINOTAG News reports, citing CME FedWatch data released December 14, that the probability of a Fed rate cut of 25 basis points in January next year stands at 24.4%, while the odds of keeping policy unchanged sit at 75.6%.
The market-implied path to March next year shows a 50.5% probability that rates remain unchanged, with a cumulative probability of a 25bp cut at 41.4% and a 50bp cut at 8.1%.
The next two FOMC meetings are scheduled for January 28, 2026 and March 18, 2026, underscoring a measured monetary policy trajectory that will hinge on incoming inflation and growth data.
Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/fed-rate-outlook-2026-cme-fedwatch-signals-75-6-chance-of-no-change-and-41-4-cumulative-25bp-cut-ahead-of-jan-28-and-mar-18-2026-fomc-meetings
