Timothy Morano
Jan 22, 2026 15:36
AVAX price prediction shows potential recovery to $13-15 by February 2026, with current oversold conditions at $12.11 presenting tactical entry opportunities despite bearish momentum signals.
AVAX Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $12.49-$13.09
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $13.00-$15.20 range
• Bullish breakout level: $13.64 (SMA 20 resistance)
• Critical support: $11.39
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Avalanche
While specific analyst predictions from the past 24 hours are limited, recent forecasts from the crypto community provide valuable insight into AVAX’s trajectory. Tony Kim highlighted in early January that “Avalanche shows bullish MACD momentum and RSI breakout potential, with analysts forecasting AVAX price targets of $18-20 in the medium term as key resistance levels approach.”
Changelly’s technical analysis suggests more conservative near-term expectations, projecting “the maximum trading value of AVAX will be around $13.74” for January 2026. Meanwhile, CoinCodex maintains that “over the next five days, Avalanche will reach the highest price of $12.49 on Jan 25, 2026.”
According to on-chain data from major analytics platforms, Avalanche’s network fundamentals remain solid despite the current price consolidation, with transaction volumes and developer activity showing resilience during this correction phase.
AVAX Technical Analysis Breakdown
Avalanche currently trades at $12.11, reflecting a -1.94% decline over the past 24 hours. The technical picture presents a mixed but potentially recovering scenario for this AVAX price prediction.
RSI Analysis: The 14-period RSI sits at 37.81, placing AVAX in neutral territory but approaching oversold conditions. This suggests selling pressure may be exhausting, creating potential reversal opportunities.
MACD Momentum: The MACD shows a bearish reading at -0.2390 with a histogram at 0.0000, indicating momentum has stalled but isn’t accelerating downward. This flat histogram suggests the selling pressure is losing steam.
Bollinger Bands: AVAX trades near the lower Bollinger Band at $12.09, with a %B position of 0.0085. This extreme positioning often signals oversold conditions and potential mean reversion toward the middle band at $13.64.
Moving Average Structure: The price sits well below key moving averages, with the SMA 20 at $13.64 acting as immediate resistance. The SMA 50 at $13.17 provides additional resistance, while the distant SMA 200 at $20.31 highlights the longer-term downtrend.
Avalanche Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
In an optimistic Avalanche forecast, AVAX could target the immediate resistance at $12.60, followed by a test of $13.09. A decisive break above the SMA 20 at $13.64 would open the path toward the upper Bollinger Band at $15.20, aligning with Tony Kim’s medium-term targets of $18-20.
Technical confirmation for bullish momentum would require RSI breaking above 50, MACD turning positive, and sustained volume above the recent average of $34.6 million.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case for this AVAX price prediction sees continued weakness below $12.00, potentially testing the strong support at $11.39. A breakdown of this level could trigger further selling toward psychological support around $10.00.
Risk factors include broader crypto market weakness, reduced DeFi activity on Avalanche, and failure to reclaim the $13.00 level that previously acted as support.
Should You Buy AVAX? Entry Strategy
Based on current technical levels, tactical entry opportunities exist for risk-tolerant traders. Consider scaling into positions between $11.75-$12.24, with the current price near $12.11 offering reasonable risk-reward.
Stop-loss suggestion: Place protective stops below $11.39 to limit downside risk to approximately 6-8% from current levels.
Take-profit targets: Initial profit-taking at $13.09 (immediate resistance), with extended targets at $13.64 (SMA 20) and $15.20 (upper Bollinger Band).
Risk management remains crucial given the bearish MACD and position below key moving averages. Position sizing should reflect the elevated volatility shown by the ATR of $0.74.
Conclusion
This AVAX price prediction suggests cautious optimism for Avalanche’s near-term prospects. While the immediate technical picture shows bearish momentum, oversold conditions and analyst targets support potential recovery toward $13-15 over the coming weeks. The Avalanche forecast indicates that patient investors may find current levels attractive for accumulation, though strict risk management remains essential.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are inherently speculative and subject to extreme volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
Image source: Shutterstock
Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20260122-price-prediction-avax-avalanche-targets-13-15-range-by
