Bitcoin bull run ‘might actually be over’ as Wyckoff pattern points to $86K

The post Fed Decides On Interest Rates Today—Here’s What To Watch For appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Topline The Federal Reserve on Wednesday will conclude a two-day policymaking meeting and release a decision on whether to lower interest rates—following months of pressure and criticism from President Donald Trump—and potentially signal whether additional cuts are on the way. President Donald Trump has urged the central bank to “CUT INTEREST RATES, NOW, AND BIGGER” than they might plan to. Getty Images Key Facts The central bank is poised to cut interest rates by at least a quarter-point, down from the 4.25% to 4.5% range where they have been held since December to between 4% and 4.25%, as Wall Street has placed 100% odds of a rate cut, according to CME’s FedWatch, with higher odds (94%) on a quarter-point cut than a half-point (6%) reduction. Fed governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, both Trump appointees, voted in July for a quarter-point reduction to rates, and they may dissent again in favor of a large cut alongside Stephen Miran, Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers’ chair, who was sworn in at the meeting’s start on Tuesday. It’s unclear whether other policymakers, including Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid and St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, will favor larger cuts or opt for no reduction. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in his Jackson Hole, Wyoming, address last month the central bank would likely consider a looser monetary policy, noting the “shifting balance of risks” on the U.S. economy “may warrant adjusting our policy stance.” David Mericle, an economist for Goldman Sachs, wrote in a note the “key question” for the Fed’s meeting is whether policymakers signal “this is likely the first in a series of consecutive cuts” as the central bank is anticipated to “acknowledge the softening in the labor market,” though they may not “nod to an October cut.” Mericle said he…

Widely followed Bitcoin figure Lark Davis pushed back on suggestions that Cardano is finished, saying, “what is dead can never die.” At the same time, he pointed out that on-chain activity looks flat. Related Reading: Dogecoin Alert! Price Could Explode Over 2,800%, Analyst Says Cardano (ADA) was trading at $0.51, down 8.8% in the past 24 hours, and it holds a market cap of $18.8 billion. That is the context for a larger question now being asked across crypto circles: can community and hype move a token more than real network use? On-Chain Activity Shows Little Movement Davis admits that user activity is low and DEX volume is thin. Development updates are limited, daily revenue is weak, and stablecoins barely register on the chain. He made his point with humor too, joking that Cardano’s founder Charles Hoskinson has “a beard worth $25 billion.” But the main claim was serious: the chain’s raw on-chain metrics don’t look strong right now. Is Cardano $ADA dead? Here’s my take. ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/oGnVuQuy9N — Lark Davis (@TheCryptoLark) November 12, 2025 Community Strength And Brand Can Still Drive Prices Based on reports, Davis argued that numbers don’t tell the whole story in crypto. He compared Cardano to XRP and noted that a token can have a big market cap despite questions over intrinsic use; XRP once reached about $150 billion in market value. According to Davis, old buyers can return and push a token higher even when network use is low. That is part of why some traders treat certain assets as almost cult-like. Sentiment matters, but momentum matters more than steady on-chain growth in many cases. Technical Signals Point To A Narrow Upside If Key Levels Break TradingView analyst “AltcoinPiooners” has highlighted recent price action and a possible shift in market pressure. Reports show ADA tested support at $0.53 after hitting $0.60 on November 11 and falling the next day. Analysts See A Clear Path, But Risks Remain According to the analyst, ADA could move to $0.62 and then to $0.65 if $0.60 is cleared, a move that would equal more than a 16% gain from current levels. Reports also revealed that Cardano whales added 348 million ADA over four days while the price dipped below $0.50 recently. On the flip side, a failure at support could send ADA down toward $0.52. That risk was flagged by the same analyst. Related Reading: XRP Earns Academic Praise: University Study Calls It ‘Gold In Your Hands’ Although the debate around weak usage continues, reports have stressed that Cardano is far from dead. The project still commands a loyal base, steady interest from long-time holders, and a market cap in the billions. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

The post Crypto Market: Traders Claim the Bear Market Has Begun, but One Major Signal Is Missing appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Insights Many crypto market traders believe the bear market is already here, but several signals do not match a real cycle top. The Pi Cycle Top indicator, which has called the last three tops, has not triggered yet. Past bear markets only began after a confirmed top, not before it, which suggests this cycle may still have room left. The crypto market has been falling for weeks. Many traders now believe the bear market has already begun. The total market cap was near $3.94 trillion on 6 October. It corrected to $3.59 trillion on 11 November. It then dropped again to almost $3.20 trillion this week. These are big moves, so fear is rising fast. But when we place all signals side by side, the picture is not complete. Several charts show weakness. But the main top signal for Bitcoin has not appeared yet. Crypto Market: Traders Think Bear Market Already Started Many shared charts point to some tension for the crypto prices. One chart shows Bicoin USD heading lower than the 50-week moving average. A moving average shows the average price over time, and traders watch it to track the price and market trend. Bitcoin 50W MA Signal | Source: X Older charts compare the 2025 to 2015–2018 and 2018–2021 (4-year moves). In those charts, the peak looks like it formed in late October. This made the correction look like the start of a new downtrend. Do note that it was in October when the Bitcoin price hit a new peak of $126,000. Crypto Market Older Cycles | Source: X Some on-chain charts show long-term holders moving coins. The rise in CDD suggests older coins are transferring, which can look like early selling. Crypto Market CDD Looks Bearish | Source: X ETFs also added pressure. Bitcoin ETFs saw…