Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

912 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Kalshi Extends US Media Push with CNBC Deal After CNN Tie-Up

Kalshi Extends US Media Push with CNBC Deal After CNN Tie-Up

The post Kalshi Extends US Media Push with CNBC Deal After CNN Tie-Up appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Notes The partnership will display Kalshi’s probability data through dedicated tickers during business programming and digital content. CNBC joins CNN in adopting prediction market integration as Kalshi reports billion-dollar weekly volumes and rapid growth. The deal intensifies competition with Polymarket, which has secured partnerships with Google Finance and Yahoo Finance. The news network CNBC has signed a multi-year exclusive partnership with prediction market platform Kalshi to integrate event-based probabilities across its TV, digital, and subscription products from 2026. The deal marks another step in Kalshi’s push into mainstream US business media following a similar agreement with CNN announced on Dec. 3. CNBC to Feature Kalshi’s Real-Time Prediction Data Across All Platforms Under the agreement, CNBC will feature Kalshi’s real-time prediction data across its business news programming and digital properties, including a dedicated Kalshi-branded ticker during selected shows. Kalshi will also host a CNBC-branded page on its platform, highlighting markets chosen by CNBC editors that track major macroeconomic, political, and financial events, according to their announcement. The new era of media has begun. CNBC is the world’s leading destination for financial news and the world of finance depends on real-world events. Kalshi accurately predicts these events. The news is evolving: from covering the present to forecasting the future. https://t.co/9kV6hzUPdY — Tarek Mansour (@mansourtarek_) December 4, 2025 “Prediction markets are rapidly shaping how investors and business leaders think about important events, […] Kalshi’s data will serve as a powerful complement to CNBC’s reporting and help people stay better informed about the world around them,” said KC Sullivan, President of CNBC. CNBC Ranks Among Top 20 Global Business News Websites CNBC ranks among the top 20 most visited business news websites in the world, with more than 117 million monthly visits according to Press Gazette’s global traffic rankings. The network is one…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Fanatics Markets Debuts With Crypto.com Partnership

Fanatics Markets Debuts With Crypto.com Partnership

The post Fanatics Markets Debuts With Crypto.com Partnership appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Global digital sports platform Fanatics has launched Fanatics Markets, a new prediction marketplace built in partnership with Crypto.com. The platform is now live as a standalone app in 24 U.S. states on iOS and Android, with a nationwide rollout planned. The release outlines a two-stage launch strategy aimed at expanding Fanatics’ footprint into digital trading and prediction markets while giving users a regulated alternative to offshore platforms. Stage One: Trading Begins With Events and Real-World Outcomes In the first phase, Fanatics Markets users can trade contracts tied to economic, political, and sports events. The company frames the platform as a new way for fans to engage with the moments that shape sports and culture, offering a structured, federally supervised environment. Matt King, CEO of Fanatics Betting and Gaming, said the platform gives fans “a safe, intuitive, and rewarding way to follow events, pick a side, and profit if their predictions are correct.” Stage Two Will Expand Into Crypto, Stocks, and Emerging Sectors The second phase of the rollout will broaden the marketplace to include categories such as cryptocurrency, stock markets, art, climate, and technology. This expansion positions Fanatics Markets as a multi-sector prediction ecosystem rather than a sports-focused product. Clearing and trade processing will be handled by CDNA, a Crypto.com subsidiary registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This designation allows the platform to operate fully within federal compliance expectations, a key differentiator from unregulated alternatives. This move also continues Crypto.com’s strategy of leveraging CDNA in partnerships; similar collaborations were previously announced with Hollywood.com and Truth Social. Fanatics Markets is expected to expand across the U.S. as regulatory approvals are obtained, marking one of the most significant pushes yet to bring prediction trading into mainstream, regulated digital markets. Source: https://coinpaper.com/12876/fanatics-launches-a-new-prediction-market-with-crypto-com-and-expands-into-web3

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Robinhood Stock Sees Uptrend as Connecticut Cracks Down on Prediction Markets

Robinhood Stock Sees Uptrend as Connecticut Cracks Down on Prediction Markets

The post Robinhood Stock Sees Uptrend as Connecticut Cracks Down on Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Insights Robinhood stock gains as trading activity stays strong across assets. Connecticut orders Robinhood Derivatives to halt unlicensed sports contracts. The company clarifies that banking services come through its FDIC-insured partner bank. Robinhood stock moved higher during the latest session despite Connecticut issuing a Cease and Desist order tied to its prediction market activity. The state justified the order saying Robinhood Derivatives offered unlicensed sports event contracts. These event is shaping the outlook around HOOD stock as investors appear unmoved. Robinhood Stock Moves Higher as Trading Interest Remains Steady Robinhood stock traded at $133.64 in early trading session. The price showed a 6.11% gain from the prior day and sat above the previous close of $125.95. Based on the outlook, day range ran from $124.40 to $134.34, and the year range stretched from $29.66 to $153.86. Robinhood Stock Outlook | Source: Google Finance Per the market data, Pre-market trading showed a slight move to $133.20, pushing the market cap to $120.17 billion. Overall, the Robinhood P/E ratio came in at 74.40, complemented by 28.94 million volume shares recorded. Recently, Ark Invest added 1,951 Robinhood shares, valued at about $245,000, to its Ark Next Generation Internet ETF. The purchase showed that the fund still follows the stock. Each move by the fund draws attention because traders are watching its choices closely. Trading on the platform now covers more than stocks and options with users also buying and selling Bitcoin and Ethereum. Similarly, activity in digital assets helped keep overall use strong. Interest in crypto has played a growing role in how the platform build its services. Many users look for simple access to both stocks and crypto, and Robinhood continues to present itself as a place that offers both. The stock’s performance often shifts with crypto activity because many users…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi Prediction Market Scores a Major Victory with New CNBC Partnership

Kalshi Prediction Market Scores a Major Victory with New CNBC Partnership

BitcoinWorld Kalshi Prediction Market Scores a Major Victory with New CNBC Partnership In a move that signals a seismic shift for financial media, the innovative Kalshi prediction market has secured a landmark partnership with the powerhouse network CNBC. This deal will weave real-time, crowd-sourced market sentiment directly into the fabric of mainstream financial news. For anyone tracking the evolution of how we understand markets, this is a […] This post Kalshi Prediction Market Scores a Major Victory with New CNBC Partnership first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
One of The Longest US Shutdowns Hitted Crypto Hard

One of The Longest US Shutdowns Hitted Crypto Hard

The main macro event shaping markets in early November was the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which by the start of the month had already lasted longer than usual. This not only elevated market fear but also translated into real economic losses, as a large share of federal employees were placed on unpaid leave, slowing down […]

Author: Cryptopolitan
BNB News: Changpeng Zhao Teases Launch Of Native BNB Chain Prediction Market

BNB News: Changpeng Zhao Teases Launch Of Native BNB Chain Prediction Market

The post BNB News: Changpeng Zhao Teases Launch Of Native BNB Chain Prediction Market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Insights In a post on X, Changpeng Zhao pointed out the latest BNB News product release, a predictions market platform called predict.fun. The new predictions markets platform will list two active markets, with total volume sitting near $300,000. Predict.fun is leaning on BNB Chain for its massive user base. The chain leads all networks in active wallets, and on-chain analytics show its active addresses have nearly doubled over the past year. In latest BNB news, Binance founder Changpeng “CZ’’ Zhao drew fresh attention this week after sharing a new update on BNB Chain prediction market. He highlighted predict.fun, a platform created by a former Binance staffer that lets users earn yield while their positions stay open. In simple terms, the project gives users a place to make predictions and still collect passive income on funds that would normally sit idle. According to CZ, it marks another step toward making on-chain markets more engaging and efficient. BNB News: CZ Unveils Predict.fun, A Yield-Generating Prediction Market On BNB Chain Binance founder Changpeng Zhao ‘CZ’ turned the spotlight onto a new BNB Chain prediction market this week. In a post on X, he pointed to predict.fun, a project built by a former Binance team member. The platform lets people make predictions while their unused funds quietly earn yield in the background. Source: X CZ said the idea is to create a market where users can place wagers without leaving their money idle. The new approach addresses a long-standing issue in trading: funds often sit idle with no returns while users wait for events to settle. According to industry observers, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are tackling this by adding rewards on top of their prediction markets. Staking bonuses, treasury incentives, and points systems now give users a way to earn while they…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction Markets Evolving Into Core Crypto Infrastructure

Prediction Markets Evolving Into Core Crypto Infrastructure

The post Prediction Markets Evolving Into Core Crypto Infrastructure appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. As crypto matures, prediction markets are shifting from niche speculation to foundational prediction markets infrastructure, while simultaneously giving rise to a powerful new category of attention-linked assets. In the first ten months of 2025, global prediction market trading volume reached $27.9 billion, according to Crypto.com Research, marking an explosive 210% growth compared to 2024. However, behind this headline expansion sit five deep structural bottlenecks: the liquidity paradox, market discovery barriers, user expression limits, permissionless creation dilemmas, and oracle settlement challenges. Moreover, the sector stands in stark contrast to the Memecoin ecosystem. On Polymarket, around 85% of traders incur losses, yet their downside is defined and controllable. Meanwhile, the Pump.fun platform generates 10,417 tokens per day, of which 98.6% are identified as manipulative projects with an average lifespan of less than three months. For traders starting with $100, information-based prediction contracts resemble structured wagers, while Memecoin trading remains closer to slot machines driven by luck and timing. Looking ahead, a third major asset class is emerging alongside cash flow assets and supply-demand assets: attention assets. By rebuilding prediction platforms as “attention oracles,” developers aim to support Attention Perpetuals (Attention Perps), giving traders direct financial exposure to cultural attention itself. That said, this evolution also solves the core limitation of traditional user-generated assets (UGAs), which must start from zero and struggle to capture already-established attention around sports stars or political figures. In this transition, specialized platforms such as Limitless—which focuses on Pre-TGE hedging—are starting to plug structural gaps across the crypto market. A spokesperson from HTX Research noted in 2025 that prediction venues could evolve from speculative curiosities into reliable macro signals for institutional decision-making, particularly in markets tied to financial products firms can model and analyze. The $100 capital game: small traders between structure and FOMO In the realm of small-capital…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
BNB Chain yields new on-chain prediction market

BNB Chain yields new on-chain prediction market

The post BNB Chain yields new on-chain prediction market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A new on-chain betting platform is trying to reshape crypto-native prediction markets, and early attention around predict fun shows how yield could change user behavior. CZ backs new BNB Chain prediction market experiment Binance founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao this week spotlighted a new prediction venue on BNB Chain, called predict.fun, in a post on X dated Dec 4, 2025. The platform was created by a former Binance employee and lets users keep earning yield on deposited funds while their positions remain open, instead of leaving capital completely idle. In his post, CZ wrote: “Welcome a new prediction market on @BNBChain. When you make a prediction, you funds don’t sit idle, they generate yield.” However, he added a caveat, stressing that the message was “not endorsement” and noting that the founder is an ex-Binance staffer and that the project was incubated and invested in by YZiLabs. Welcome a new prediction market on @BNBChain.When you make a prediction, you funds don’t sit idle, they generate yield. Disclaimer: Founder is ex-Binance (a few years ago).Incubated/invested by YZiLabs.This tweet is not endorsement. 🙏 https://t.co/E0fxxKc3eE — CZ 🔶 BNB (@cz_binance) December 3, 2025 Yield-focused model aims to fix idle capital problem The design of predict.fun targets one of the main inefficiencies in on-chain forecasting. Traders often have to lock capital for weeks or months while they wait for an outcome, during which time those funds typically earn nothing. Moreover, in volatile crypto markets, that opportunity cost can quickly become substantial for active users. Predict.fun addresses this by allowing users to place bets while simultaneously generating passive income on their underlying deposits. That said, the specific yield sources and risk profile will be critical for adoption, as other prediction market yield strategies have sometimes struggled when returns proved unsustainable or too complex for mainstream participants to…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
From Structural Constraints to the Future of Attention-Based Financial Infrastructure

From Structural Constraints to the Future of Attention-Based Financial Infrastructure

The post From Structural Constraints to the Future of Attention-Based Financial Infrastructure appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. HTX Research, the dedicated research arm of leading global crypto exchange HTX, has released its latest report, Prediction Markets: From Structural Bottlenecks to Infrastructure Revolution and the Future of Attention Assets, offering a structured analysis of the foundations, development trajectory, and long-term potential of prediction markets. The study discusses why prediction markets continue to confront structural limitations despite rapid growth, and whether they could ultimately become the pricing infrastructure for attention-based assets. Prediction Markets as Emerging Attention Economy: A Clear Contrast with Memecoins Prediction markets have grown rapidly. In the first ten months of 2025, global trading volume reached $27.9 billion, a 210% increase from 2024. Like Memecoins, prediction markets attract a high concentration of small-cap participants. However, the two operate on fundamentally different mechanisms. In prediction markets, participants can distribute small amounts across multiple events, with transparent odds and clear downside. Event structures allow informed users to convert domain knowledge into measurable returns—particularly in lower-liquidity markets where information gaps create opportunities. Memecoin trading follows a different pattern. On Pump.fun, 10,417 tokens are created daily, 98.6% of which are identified as manipulative and typically last less than three months. Prices move primarily on social momentum rather than probability. Information asymmetry heavily favors token creators, leaving ordinary users dependent on hype cycles rather than informed insight. Although prediction markets also spread through social channels, their traction comes from evolving event dynamics, not emotional spikes. For most participants, prediction markets function as information-based competitions, while Memecoins resemble attention-driven lotteries. Rapid Growth with Underlying Structural Fragility Despite rising participation, prediction markets remain structurally fragile. Liquidity on many platforms is still incentive-dependent; some previously spent more than $50,000 per day on market-making subsidies, with depth shrinking once incentives declined. Losing outcomes settling to zero makes it difficult for markets to accumulate lasting depth, and…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
MyPrize brings NBA star James Harden on board as its first Premier Creator

MyPrize brings NBA star James Harden on board as its first Premier Creator

Latest News and Updates on blockchain industry by AlexaBlockchain ("Alexa Blockchain"). NBA star James Harden becomes MyPrize’s first Premier Creator, introducing interactive multiplayer gaming, livestreaming, and prediction markets to fans. The post MyPrize brings NBA star James Harden on board as its first Premier Creator appeared first on AlexaBlockchain.

Author: AlexaBlockchain