Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

896 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Romania Blacklists Polymarket for Operating Unlicensed Crypto Gambling Platform

Romania Blacklists Polymarket for Operating Unlicensed Crypto Gambling Platform

Romania’s National Gambling Office (ONJN) has blacklisted the prediction-market platform Polymarket for operating without a local license. The decision, announced on October 31, reflects the country’s firm stance on unregulated gambling. The ONJN classified Polymarket’s prediction contracts as counterparty bets, placing them under gambling laws regardless of whether users wager in Romanian lei or cryptocurrency. […]

Author: Tronweekly
Armstron’s opmerking over prediction markets: Jeff Dorman voert druk op

Armstron’s opmerking over prediction markets: Jeff Dorman voert druk op

De uitlatingen van Jeff Dorman, chief investment officer bij Arca, over Brian Armstrongs opmerking tijdens de kwartaalcall van Coinbase blijven onderwerp van gesprek in de sector. Dorman uitte scherpe kritiek op de CEO en beschuldigde hem ervan bewust een markt te hebben beïnvloed. Volgens Dorman schaadt deze actie niet alleen de geloofwaardigheid van prediction-markets, maar ondermijnt ze ook het imago van Coinbase. “Het is zorgelijk dat de topman van het grootste cryptobedrijf in deze sector openlijk een markt manipuleert,” schreef hij op X. Check onze Discord Connect met "like-minded" crypto enthousiastelingen Leer gratis de basis van Bitcoin & trading - stap voor stap, zonder voorkennis. Krijg duidelijke uitleg & charts van ervaren analisten. Sluit je aan bij een community die samen groeit. Nu naar Discord Reputatieschade dreigt voor prediction-markets Dorman krijgt bijval uit institutionele hoek. Verschillende marktwaarnemers en analisten wijzen op het risico dat prediction-markets hun betrouwbaarheid verliezen wanneer direct betrokkenen het verloop kunnen beïnvloeden. Op Kalshi en Polymarket, samen goed voor ruim 84.000 dollar aan inzetten, reageerden gebruikers vrijwel direct op Armstrongs ogenschijnlijk luchtige opmerking. Dorman benadrukt dat dit niets te maken heeft met technologische innovatie, maar met het ondermijnen van vertrouwen in markten. Hij stelt dat incidenten zoals deze de reputatie van de sector kunnen schaden op een moment dat crypto juist streeft naar institutionele acceptatie. Volgens hem zou een beursgenoteerde onderneming als Coinbase duidelijke grenzen moeten stellen aan het publieke gedrag van haar bestuurders. “Coinbase is niet zomaar een techbedrijf, het is het gezicht van de financiële infrastructuur in crypto,” aldus Dorman. I’m tired of dumping on Clownbase, but you need your head examined if you think it’s cute or clever or savvy that the CEO of the biggest company in this industry openly manipulated a market. It’s not fun working tirelessly for 8 years trying to educate institutional investors on… https://t.co/7XCJ8tYhMb — Jeff Dorman (@jdorman81) October 31, 2025 Verantwoordelijkheid weegt zwaarder dan kwartaalwinst De controverse werpt een schaduw over de kwartaalcijfers van Coinbase. Met een omzetgroei van 55 procent en een nettoresultaat van 432 miljoen dollar presenteerde het bedrijf sterke financiële prestaties. Ook strategisch werd er gebouwd: Coinbase breidde zijn Bitcoin-reserve uit tot 14.458 BTC en behoort daarmee tot de grootste publieke bitcoinhouders. Toch stelt Dorman dat goede resultaten niet afdoen aan de noodzaak van verantwoordelijkheid. Armstrongs uitleg dat iemand in een interne chat een link naar de prediction-markets deelde, vindt hij onvoldoende. Dorman pleit voor striktere richtlijnen en een bredere discussie over ethiek en transparantie in de cryptosector. “Vertrouwen bouw je in jaren op en kun je in enkele minuten verliezen,” stelt hij. Deze situatie maakt duidelijk hoe kwetsbaar de balans is tussen publieke uitlatingen en marktgedrag. Discussie over marktethiek laait op De reactie op Armstrongs opmerking legt een breder probleem bloot: de verantwoordelijkheid van publieke leiders in een sector die nog volop in ontwikkeling is. Terwijl Coinbase financieel floreert en zijn positie als toonaangevende crypto-exchange verstevigt, groeit de roep om ethische kaders binnen prediction-markets. Dorman blijft één van de scherpste stemmen in dit debat en zijn uitspraken hebben het gesprek over marktintegriteit opnieuw aangezwengeld. Best wallet - betrouwbare en anonieme wallet Best wallet - betrouwbare en anonieme wallet Meer dan 60 chains beschikbaar voor alle crypto Vroege toegang tot nieuwe projecten Hoge staking belongingen Lage transactiekosten Best wallet review Koop nu via Best Wallet Let op: cryptocurrency is een zeer volatiele en ongereguleerde investering. Doe je eigen onderzoek. Het bericht Armstron’s opmerking over prediction markets: Jeff Dorman voert druk op is geschreven door Sebastiaan Krijnen en verscheen als eerst op Bitcoinmagazine.nl.

Author: Coinstats
Prediction Markets Favor Bitcoin Stability as Traders Bet on Six-Figure Support

Prediction Markets Favor Bitcoin Stability as Traders Bet on Six-Figure Support

The post Prediction Markets Favor Bitcoin Stability as Traders Bet on Six-Figure Support appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. At 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Sunday, bitcoin is trading hands at $110,300, and prediction markets are buzzing with bets on whether the crypto heavyweight will hold its ground—or break new highs—through November. Polymarket’s November Wager The popular prediction platform Polymarket is running a hot contest titled “What price will Bitcoin hit in November?” where traders […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-markets-favor-bitcoin-stability-as-traders-bet-on-six-figure-support/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Coinbase buzzwords zorgen opschudding tijdens call

Coinbase buzzwords zorgen opschudding tijdens call

Bij de kwartaalupdate van Coinbase verraste CEO Brian Armstrong met een reeks crypto-buzzwords. Die korte uitval had merkbare gevolgen voor prediction-markets. Check onze Discord Connect met "like-minded" crypto enthousiastelingen Leer gratis de basis van Bitcoin & trading - stap voor stap, zonder voorkennis. Krijg duidelijke uitleg & charts van ervaren analisten. Sluit je aan bij een community die samen groeit. Nu naar Discord Armstrongs buzzwords verrassen en raken prediction-markets Tijdens de presentatie van de kwartaalcijfers voor Q3 liet Armstrong plots een reeks bekende crypto-termen vallen: “Even voor de zekerheid Bitcoin, Ethereum, blockchain, staking en Web3. Dan hebben we die ook genoemd.” Het klonk terloops, bijna als grap, maar had directe impact. Op platforms als Kalshi en Polymarket, waar gebruikers inzetten op woorden die tijdens zo’n call genoemd worden, reageerden de markten direct. Op Kalshi stond meer dan 80.000 dollar aan weddenschappen uit; op Polymarket bijna 4.000 dollar. Het voorval leidde tot discussie over de invloed van leidinggevenden op marktgedrag en de reikwijdte van hun uitspraken. Armstrong verklaarde later via X (voorheen Twitter) dat het moment spontaan ontstond nadat iemand intern een link naar zo’n markt had gedeeld. lol this was fun – happened spontaneously when someone on our team dropped a link in the chat https://t.co/tQiV3B9jUj — Brian Armstrong (@brian_armstrong) October 31, 2025 Sterke kwartaalcijfers en groeiende Bitcoin-reserve De kwartaalupdate draaide niet alleen om Armstrongs opmerking. Coinbase presenteerde sterke resultaten over het derde kwartaal van 2025. De beurs behaalde een nettowinst van 432,6 miljoen dollar bij een omzet van 1,9 miljard dollar. Dat is een stijging van 55 procent ten opzichte van dezelfde periode vorig jaar. Ook de strategische positie in Bitcoin werd verder versterkt. Coinbase voegde 2.772 BTC toe aan de balans, waarmee het totaal uitkwam op 14.458 BTC. Daarmee behoort het bedrijf tot de top tien van publieke bedrijven met de grootste Bitcoin-voorraad. De combinatie van financiële groei en een robuuste cryptoreserve bevestigt de leidende rol van Coinbase in de industrie. Buzzwords met gevolgen en een sterke basis Een losse opmerking van Brian Armstrong tijdens de kwartaalcall leidde tot directe verschuivingen op prediction-markets en reacties onder gebruikers. Tegelijkertijd bevestigde Coinbase zijn positie in de cryptosector met sterke kwartaalresultaten en een groeiende Bitcoin-reserve. Best wallet - betrouwbare en anonieme wallet Best wallet - betrouwbare en anonieme wallet Meer dan 60 chains beschikbaar voor alle crypto Vroege toegang tot nieuwe projecten Hoge staking belongingen Lage transactiekosten Best wallet review Koop nu via Best Wallet Let op: cryptocurrency is een zeer volatiele en ongereguleerde investering. Doe je eigen onderzoek. Het bericht Coinbase buzzwords zorgen opschudding tijdens call is geschreven door Sebastiaan Krijnen en verscheen als eerst op Bitcoinmagazine.nl.

Author: Coinstats
Ethereum Accumulation Resumes as Institutions Quietly Buy the Dip

Ethereum Accumulation Resumes as Institutions Quietly Buy the Dip

The purchase, sourced from Galaxy Digital, suggests that large-scale investors are steadily accumulating even as retail traders grow increasingly cautious. […] The post Ethereum Accumulation Resumes as Institutions Quietly Buy the Dip appeared first on Coindoo.

Author: Coindoo
Coinbase CEO Mentions Ethereum in Earnings Call, Sparking Mixed Reactions on Prediction Markets

Coinbase CEO Mentions Ethereum in Earnings Call, Sparking Mixed Reactions on Prediction Markets

The post Coinbase CEO Mentions Ethereum in Earnings Call, Sparking Mixed Reactions on Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase, referenced specific crypto terms like Bitcoin, Ethereum, blockchain, staking, and Web3 during the Q3 2025 earnings call to fulfill prediction market bets, surprising listeners and sparking debate on market integrity. Brian Armstrong tracked prediction markets on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket during the call. He intentionally mentioned key words to help bettors who wagered on their inclusion. The move drew mixed reactions, with low trading volumes of $4,000 on Polymarket and $80,000 on Kalshi involved. Discover how Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong influenced prediction markets during the Q3 earnings call by mentioning crypto buzzwords. Explore the implications for blockchain and Web3. Stay updated on crypto news—subscribe now for insights! (152 characters) What Happened During Brian Armstrong’s Coinbase Q3 Earnings Call? Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase, made headlines during the company’s Q3 2025 earnings call by deliberately incorporating popular cryptocurrency terms to satisfy bets placed on prediction markets. This lighthearted gesture aimed at engaging with online communities but ignited discussions about potential market manipulation. Coinbase reported strong Q3 results, with revenues exceeding estimates and shares rising…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Coinbase’s (COIN) Brian Armstrong Made Prediction Markets Look ‘Fun.’ Bill Ackman Made Them Look Real

Coinbase’s (COIN) Brian Armstrong Made Prediction Markets Look ‘Fun.’ Bill Ackman Made Them Look Real

The post Coinbase’s (COIN) Brian Armstrong Made Prediction Markets Look ‘Fun.’ Bill Ackman Made Them Look Real appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Brian Armstrong’s last-minute crypto shout-out turned a $4,000 prediction market into a punchline. With a few words, the Coinbase CEO made every bet on “Bitcoin,” “Ethereum,” and “Web3” pay out at once. It was a thin market, where the largest winner took home only $111, according to Poymarket Analytics. But if Armstrong’s impromptu word salad showed how ridiculous prediction markets can get, New York City mayoral market, with $22 million in open interest, shows how serious they’ve become. Moving the odds there by just 10 percentage points would now cost roughly $1 million in concentrated buying power. That’s because Polymarket’s open interest reflects real money sitting in a liquidity pool, not just the sum of theoretical wagers waiting to settle. Every trade interacts with an automated pricing curve backed by collateral, meaning odds shift gradually rather than being set by direct matches between traders. The biggest positions show just how deep that pool runs: whales like “dubdubdub2” and “asfgh” each hold over $2 million backing Zohran Mamdani, according to Polymarket Analytics, while most of the large “No” traders are already sitting on heavy losses and have little room to add capital. Because of this, any new bet placed “out of the money”, for example, buying Andrew Cuomo at long odds or selling Mamdani near 95%, is quickly absorbed by the market maker’s curve, which adjusts prices based on supply and demand. To move the odds by 10 percentage points, a trader needs to push through millions of dollars in opposing orders, around $1 million in concentrated buying or selling, before the curve starts to meaningfully shift. The market’s size and structure make small attempts at manipulation almost instantly diluted by existing capital. Recent polling backs up the market’s view. A Fox News survey shows Mamdani leading Cuomo by 16 points,…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Tokyo Gaming Giant Gumi Targets Prediction Markets — Legal Minefield Ahead?

Tokyo Gaming Giant Gumi Targets Prediction Markets — Legal Minefield Ahead?

The post Tokyo Gaming Giant Gumi Targets Prediction Markets — Legal Minefield Ahead? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Tokyo-listed gaming company Gumi announced its exploration of blockchain-based prediction market services through its subsidiary Gc Labs, joining a wave of regional players entering the sector. The announcement comes as Trump Media and Technology Group revealed plans to integrate prediction markets into its Truth Social platform. In addition, multiple blockchain-based forecasting platforms expand operations across Asia despite substantial regulatory challenges in the region. Sponsored Prediction Markets Gain Regional Momentum The prediction market sector has attracted significant institutional backing in recent months. In October, Polymarket secured a strategic investment of up to $2 billion from Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange. On Tuesday, Trump Media and Technology Group announced plans to integrate prediction markets into Truth Social through a partnership with CFTC-registered Crypto.com Derivatives North America, signaling mainstream technology adoption. This momentum is spreading across Asia. Also on Tuesday, prediction protocol Myriad launched on BNB Chain specifically to reach users across the region, introducing automated markets and localized experiences. According to company statements, the platform targets millions of potential users in Asia’s crypto communities. Meanwhile, US-based Kalshi raised $300 million on October 10 at a $5 billion valuation, announcing expansion to over 140 countries, including China and India, despite potential legal hurdles in those markets. Sponsored 🚨POLYMARKET’S CRYPTO ROOTS DRIVE BILLION DOLLAR VALUATION DESPITE KALSHI COMPETITION Polymarket, co-founded by Shayne Coplan, who participated in Ethereum ICOs in high school, continues to outpace Kalshi in valuation despite similar products. 🔹Built on Polygon Layer 2,… pic.twitter.com/iMYok9HhJ2 — Info Room (@InfoR00M) October 13, 2025 On Friday, Gumi stated its proposed platform would allow users to forecast events across politics, economics, entertainment, and social issues. The company plans joint verification experiments with media companies, data analytics firms, and research institutions, though it did not provide a specific launch timeline. Asia’s…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
US Senators Push to Finalize Crypto Market Bill as Shutdown Standoff Deepens: Report

US Senators Push to Finalize Crypto Market Bill as Shutdown Standoff Deepens: Report

Bipartisan talks on a long-awaited U.S. crypto market regulation package, the CLARITY Act, have resumed in the Senate, even as Washington remains paralyzed by a government shutdown now in its 31st day, one of the longest in U.S. history. Lawmakers from both parties are racing to finalize the market structure bill that could reshape oversight of digital assets before election politics stall progress. The negotiations, led by key Senate committees, have accelerated in recent weeks despite the broader gridlock. Can the CLARITY Act pass by Thanksgiving? According to the report, Senate Agriculture Committee Chair John Boozman (R-Ark.) said he and Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) are working “daily” to complete their section of the legislation, which would establish a regulatory framework for digital assets treated as commodities. Boozman said he expects a committee vote “before Thanksgiving,” adding, “We’re going to get it done this year.” Booker echoed that sentiment, saying the goal was to “get the policy right” rather than rush the timeline. Their work represents one part of a broader bipartisan effort spanning multiple committees, including Banking and Finance, to define how digital assets fit within U.S. regulations and the tax code. Talks within the Senate Banking Committee have also gained momentum. Senators Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyo.), Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.), and Angela Alsobrooks (D-Md.) said discussions had resumed after weeks of delay. Notably, Committee Chair Tim Scott (R-S.C.) said he was “encouraged” by the progress and looks forward to advancing “meaningful legislation.” Still, some members caution that the bill is not yet ready. Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said the legislation requires a public hearing and that many lawmakers still need to understand the issue. The push for progress comes amid warnings that time is running out. Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) said Congress must act by early 2026 or risk losing momentum as election politics take over. “I’m not optimistic about us moving much further on anything around digital assets, stablecoins, or crypto in this Congress,” he said on Monday. Longest Shutdown in History Looms — What’s Next for America? The shutdown, now stretching into its fifth week, has added further strain. The Senate adjourned Thursday without progress on a continuing resolution, guaranteeing the shutdown will last at least 34 days, tying the longest lapse in U.S. history. As of October 20, 25% of Polymarket bettors predict that the shutdown will last until at least November 16 and may drag on for almost another month to become the longest in American history. Funding for food assistance under the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) is set to expire Saturday, threatening benefits for 42 million Americans. The closure, triggered by disputes over healthcare subsidies, has left 1.4 million federal workers without pay, including air traffic controllers and employees at key agencies. Despite the stalemate, Senate Democrats and Republicans are expected to meet separately with industry executives next week to keep crypto talks alive. U.S. Lawmakers Renew Crypto Talks, but Prediction Markets Cut Odds of 2025 Passage to 25% On October 20, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.) hosted a closed-door roundtable with major industry figures, including Galaxy’s Mike Novogratz, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, and Chainlink’s Sergey Nazarov. Armstrong told CNBC that roughly 90% of the bill’s issues had already been resolved and that Thanksgiving had been floated as a possible target for completion. The House-passed Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, approved in July by a 294–137 vote, remains stalled due to the shutdown. The measure defines which digital assets fall under the jurisdiction of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and which are overseen by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Together with the GENIUS Act, signed by President Donald Trump earlier this year, it forms the foundation of the emerging U.S. crypto regulatory framework. White House AI and Crypto Czar David Sacks said the administration remains optimistic that bipartisan support could still deliver progress by the end of 2025.Source: Polymarket But prediction markets paint a different picture, with data from Polymarket showing just a 25% chance the CLARITY Act becomes law this year, down from 87% in mid-July

Author: CryptoNews
Coinbase CEO turns earnings call into unexpected jackpot for prediction market traders

Coinbase CEO turns earnings call into unexpected jackpot for prediction market traders

The post Coinbase CEO turns earnings call into unexpected jackpot for prediction market traders appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Brian Armstrong just “airdropped” alpha straight into the bags of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi. He literally hit nearly every keyword that the prediction market traders had wagered on. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong surprised listeners during the company’s third-quarter earnings call on Thursday after mentioning nearly every keyword that prediction market traders had wagered he would say. “I was a little distracted because I was tracking the predictions market about what Coinbase will say in their next earnings call,” said Armstrong as he wrapped up Coinbase’s earnings call, “and I just want to, you know, add here, the words Bitcoin, Ethereum, blockchain, staking, and web3, to make sure we get those in before the end of the call.” The moment inadvertently handed a win to Kalshi and Polymarket bettors. lol this was fun – happened spontaneously when someone on our team dropped a link in the chat https://t.co/tQiV3B9jUj — Brian Armstrong (@brian_armstrong) October 31, 2025 Coinbase reported steady growth in Q3 with a 37% increase in transaction revenues reaching $1 billion, driven by a rebound in trading volumes, which touched $295 billion. Total revenue for the quarter escalated to $1.9 billion with a net income of $433 million. Armstrong confirmed that Coinbase had added 2,772 BTC valued at over $300 million during the quarter. With 14,548 BTC currently on its balance sheet, the company ranks in the top ten public companies in terms of Bitcoin holdings. Source: https://cryptobriefing.com/coinbase-brian-armstrong-earning-calls-win-prediction-market-traders/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews