Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

884 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Aptos (APT) Price Prediction 2026, 2027 – 2030: Will APT Price Hit $30 by 2026?

Aptos (APT) Price Prediction 2026, 2027 – 2030: Will APT Price Hit $30 by 2026?

The post Aptos (APT) Price Prediction 2026, 2027 – 2030: Will APT Price Hit $30 by 2026? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Story Highlights The live price

Author: CoinPedia
Underdog and Crypto.com’s CDNA Bring First Prediction Market Exchange to Major Sports Gaming App

Underdog and Crypto.com’s CDNA Bring First Prediction Market Exchange to Major Sports Gaming App

Underdog and Crypto.com’s Derivatives North America partner to launch the first federally regulated prediction market exchange within a major sports gaming app.

Author: Blockchainreporter
Crypto.com and Underdog partner to offer sports prediction markets

Crypto.com and Underdog partner to offer sports prediction markets

The post Crypto.com and Underdog partner to offer sports prediction markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Crypto.com logo displayed on a phone screen with representation of cryptocurrencies. Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images Fantasy and sports gaming operator Underdog is partnering with Crypto.com to offer sports prediction markets in 16 states, mostly focused on where legal sports betting has not been adopted, the companies told CNBC on Tuesday. “Prediction markets are one of the most exciting developments we’ve seen in a long time, ” Underdog founder and CEO Jeremy Levine said on CNBC’s “Worldwide Exchange” Tuesday. “While still new and evolving, one thing is clear — the future of prediction markets is going to be about sports — and no one does sports better than Underdog.” Underdog is the first sports gaming platform to enter the new and rapidly expanding prediction market industry, which is a modern chimera of financial trading and sports betting: Traders buy and sell the outcome of sporting events, but the odds change according to market movements, and there’s no bookmaker. Robinhood, Kalshi and Polymarket already offer sports events contracts. FanDuel, owned by Flutter, announced earlier this month that it would partner with the CME Group to offer financial events contracts. DraftKings CEO Jason Robins has also told CNBC he’s interested in entering the fray. Sports events contracts could be especially lucrative for platforms that bypass state gaming regulators and tribal pushback. The nation’s most populous states, California and Texas, do not offer legal sports betting. In Florida, the third most populous state, the Seminole Tribe has a near monopoly on legal gambling through its Hard Rock casinos and sportsbooks. These markets remain inaccessible to legal sportsbooks, and the tribes have demonstrated a commitment to fending off what they consider to be a competitive threat to their sovereign rights. The Commodities and Futures Trading Commission and federal courts are still grappling with…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Myriad Surpasses $10M Trading Volume in Prediction Markets

Myriad Surpasses $10M Trading Volume in Prediction Markets

The post Myriad Surpasses $10M Trading Volume in Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. This milestone reflects the quick adoption of Myriad as well as the company’s aim to develop prediction markets as a fundamental segment within the DeFi industry. Since its introduction, Myriad has been able to support more than 5.4 million forecasts, its browser extension has been installed more than 60,000 times, and it has swiftly moved into the top tier of Web3 trading apps. Myriad, a Web3 prediction and trading protocol, made the announcement today that it has crossed $10 million in USDC trading volume since its introduction. Additionally, it has onboarded more than 511,000 users. This milestone reflects the quick adoption of Myriad as well as the company’s aim to develop prediction markets as a fundamental segment within the decentralized finance industry. The beginnings of Myriad may be traced back to two pioneering media companies in the Web3 landscape: Decrypt and Rug Radio. The mentality of the platform has been formed by this tradition, which has also contributed to the early momentum. The objective of Myriad is to make information itself a marketable asset class. Since its introduction, Myriad has been able to support more than 5.4 million forecasts, its browser extension has been installed more than 60,000 times, and it has swiftly moved into the top tier of Web3 trading apps. All of this has been accomplished while remaining faithful to its purpose. Loxley Fernandes, co-founder and CEO of Myriad stated: “Financial markets have always been about speculation, but Myriad is turning speculation into a product. We’re showing that trading ideas and forecasts is not only possible, it’s the next frontier for capital markets. Myriad is building the rails for prediction markets to evolve beyond a niche crypto product and become an entirely new segment of DeFi.” It is not going unnoticed that this burgeoning industry has the potential to see development. According to Thomas…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction market hype returns despite skepticism

Prediction market hype returns despite skepticism

The post Prediction market hype returns despite skepticism appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction markets are making a comeback, attracting big exchanges, brokerages, and crypto-native startups. Yet, questions remain about whether these platforms can grow into reliable, lasting sources of insight. Summary Prediction markets are back, drawing attention from exchanges, brokerages, and crypto startups. Politics, finance, and sports are all on the table as platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, Robinhood, and a Coinbase-backed team expand offerings. Still, doubts linger over whether these markets can scale beyond hype, with new entrants aiming to combine decentralization and regulatory compliance. It’s quite hard to miss the noise. Prediction markets are back in the headlines, and this time the players include established exchanges, mainstream brokerages, and a fresh wave of crypto-native startups. Politics, finance, and sports are all on the menu. Polymarket and Kalshi are expanding their product sets, brokerage giant Robinhood is layering prediction contracts into its app, and a Coinbase-backed team just raised a high-profile seed round to build a regulated, on-chain alternative. Still, the same doubts that trailed earlier attempts haven’t evaporated. Can these markets scale into useful, durable sources of information, or are they mostly a venture cycle of hype, liquidity, and caution? Blockchain bets and regulations This summer, a new entrant called The Clearing Company announced a $15 million seed round led by Union Square Ventures and joined by Haun Ventures, Variant, and Coinbase Ventures as it seeks to build “the first on-chain, permissionless and regulated prediction market.” The startup, founded by a former Polymarket executive, pitches itself as a way to marry decentralization with the compliance that institutional and regulatory partners demand. At the same time, Polymarket — which has been the most visible crypto-native prediction platform — signaled a renewed push into the U.S. market after a strategic investment from 1789 Capital and the addition of Donald Trump Jr. to its…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Will Bitcoin Collapse Before Year-End? Prediction Markets Say Yes

Will Bitcoin Collapse Before Year-End? Prediction Markets Say Yes

The post Will Bitcoin Collapse Before Year-End? Prediction Markets Say Yes appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin After climbing to an all-time high above $124,000 in mid-August, Bitcoin has slipped back under $110,000 and is now trading in a narrowing range. While some long-term bulls still see $200,000 as a realistic target before 2026, short-term sentiment is turning more cautious. Prediction Markets Signal Bearish Tilt Data from Polymarket shows a majority of bettors now believe Bitcoin will slide below six figures before the year ends. The market is pricing in a 62% chance of a drop under $100,000, reflecting growing conviction after BTC dipped under $110,000 for the first time in six weeks. Analysts Weigh Institutional Support vs. Whale Selling Min Jung, an analyst at Presto Research, said the bearish outlook cannot be dismissed. According to Jung, institutional buyers and corporate treasuries have so far absorbed most of the selling pressure from long-term holders. That dynamic has kept the market from experiencing a deeper breakdown. But the analyst warned that this balance could shift quickly. “If large investors decide to unload more aggressively, the key question is whether there will be enough new inflows to absorb that supply,” Jung said. Without continued demand from big players, a break below $100,000 becomes increasingly likely. A Critical Test Ahead For now, Bitcoin remains in a tug-of-war between resilient institutional demand and the looming threat of whale sell-offs. Prediction markets suggest traders are preparing for the downside, even as long-term forecasts continue to point toward six-figure gains. Whether BTC holds the line or cracks below $100,000 may determine how investors approach the final stretch of 2025. The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Coindoo.com does not endorse or recommend any specific investment strategy or cryptocurrency. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
El Salvador’s $1B Bitcoin Holdings Bet Hits Polymarket

El Salvador’s $1B Bitcoin Holdings Bet Hits Polymarket

The post El Salvador’s $1B Bitcoin Holdings Bet Hits Polymarket appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. El Salvador President Nayib Bukele called attention to prediction markets amid increasing bets that the country’s Bitcoin holdings will hit $1 billion by year-end. Bukele took to X on Wednesday to tweet about Kalshi’s prediction market, which shows increasing betting activity on El Salvador’s Bitcoin (BTC) holdings hitting $1 billion by late 2025. “I could do the funniest thing right now,” Bukele said, as the odds of El Salvador hitting a $1 billion Bitcoin milestone before November jumped from 20% to 38% on Kalshi. Soon after Bukele’s post, rival platform Polymarket listed a similar bet, where the odds of a $1 billion Bitcoin milestone by December 2025 stood at 43%. Kalshi tracking the odds since mid-August Kalshi’s prediction market on El Salvador’s $1 billion Bitcoin holdings has been active since mid-August, with the “before December 2025” bet holding near 24% and “before November 2025” hovering around 18% until the last few days. Following the spike to as high as 38%, the “before November 2025” bet dropped to 27%, while the “before December 2025” bet hovered around 35%. Kalshi’s prediction market on “When will El Salvador’s Bitcoin holdings be worth $1 billion?” Source: Kalshi While Kalshi had been tracking the odds of El Salvador’s Bitcoin holdings reaching $1 billion for several days, rival platform Polymarket only introduced a similar market following Bukele’s tweet. Related: Bitcoin investment banks coming to El Salvador — Gov regulator “New Polymarket: Will El Salvador hold $1 billion of Bitcoin by…?” the platform posted on X just hours after Bukele highlighted Kalshi’s market on Thursday. Polymarket introduced a betting market “Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by…?” on Wednesday. Source: Polymarket Cointelegraph approached Kalshi and Polymarket for comments regarding the market listing policies, but had not received any responses by the time of publication. Controversy around…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
CFTC to Surveil Crypto, Prediction Markets Using Nasdaq Platform

CFTC to Surveil Crypto, Prediction Markets Using Nasdaq Platform

The post CFTC to Surveil Crypto, Prediction Markets Using Nasdaq Platform appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In brief The CFTC will start using Nasdaq’s Market Surveillance platform to enhance its ability to detect fraud and market manipulation in crypto and production markets. The shift comes as lawmakers mull the CLARITY Act. A White House report recently recommended that the CFTC impose requirements on reporting market data for certain crypto firms. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is stepping up efforts to surveil financial markets, tapping technology from Nasdaq to gain a more granular view of crypto transactions, according to a press release published by the regulator on Wednesday. Nasdaq’s Market Surveillance platform, which covers a dozen asset classes, including digital assets and prediction markets, represents a significant upgrade, the CFTC said, as it moves to replace its “‘90s-era legacy system” for detecting illicit behavior among market participants. Prediction markets have been buzzy, with the president’s son joining Polymarket’s advisory board on Tuesday. Still, a Nasdaq spokesperson told Decrypt that prediction markets mirror derivatives that the CFTC has regulated since the agency was established in 1974. “Prediction markets operate in the same way as most derivative markets, with similar potential for market abuse and manipulation,” the spokesperson said. “The technology can therefore be adapted to serve almost all forms of event-based markets.”  At the same time, the CFTC acknowledged that markets have changed rapidly in recent years, with digital infrastructure providing round-the-clock trading. “The growth in both traditional and new markets and products, combined with innovations in market structure, such as the launch of continuous trading hours, require increasingly sophisticated tools to prevent and detect potential market abuse,” the CFTC said. The shift also comes as U.S. lawmakers mull the CLARITY Act, a comprehensive piece of crypto legislation that would establish jurisdiction between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the CFTC.  The bill was passed in the U.S. House…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Ex-Polymarket team launches onchain prediction markets with $15M round

Ex-Polymarket team launches onchain prediction markets with $15M round

The post Ex-Polymarket team launches onchain prediction markets with $15M round appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Former team members behind prediction market platform Polymarket have launched a new venture, The Clearing Company. It secured a $15 million seed round led by Union Square Ventures, according to an announcement on Wednesday. Other investors include Haun Ventures, Variant, Coinbase Ventures, Compound, Rubik, Earl Grey, Cursor Capital, Asylum and several angel backers. Co-founder Toni Gemayel emphasized that while prediction markets have existed for centuries, the internet age makes their collective intelligence more powerful. “Polls are too slow and rife with bias,” he wrote, adding that markets incentivize honesty because being wrong carries a real cost. Scaling, he said, will require making markets “fun to create, seamless to trade and supported by novel structures that unlock liquidity.” The startup aims to build onchain, permissionless prediction markets designed to meet regulatory standards while remaining accessible to retail users. Prediction markets allow participants to trade contracts tied to real-world outcomes, producing collective forecasts with financial incentives for accuracy. While platforms such as Polymarket have operated in regulatory gray areas, The Clearing Company suggests that it is positioning itself as a compliant alternative with transparent infrastructure and liquidity mechanisms. Union Square Ventures, which has previously invested in Web3 firms including Coinbase and Uniswap, is betting that a regulated approach could make decentralized forecasting tools mainstream. The company has not disclosed a launch timeline for its platform but emphasized its focus on designing products that balance simplicity with compliance. This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor Jeffrey Albus before publication. Get the news in your inbox. Explore Blockworks newsletters: Source: https://blockworks.co/news/onchain-prediction-market-funding

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Vitalik Buterin Reveals Why They’re Astonishingly More Accurate

Vitalik Buterin Reveals Why They’re Astonishingly More Accurate

The post Vitalik Buterin Reveals Why They’re Astonishingly More Accurate appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction Markets: Vitalik Buterin Reveals Why They’re Astonishingly More Accurate Skip to content Home Crypto News Prediction Markets: Vitalik Buterin Reveals Why They’re Astonishingly More Accurate Source: https://bitcoinworld.co.in/prediction-markets-accuracy/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews